r/Superstonk Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

06/10 UPDATE: Broke the log-floor by ~1% ( ~5% in linear price scale ). I'd say that's within the reasonable margin of error for an equation I eyeballed ~4 weeks ago, and that WE'RE STILL ON THE EXPONENTIAL JOURNEY TO THE MOON ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€ HODL ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ

Post image
20k Upvotes

3k

u/Piefke_ ๐Ÿฆ Attempt Vote ๐Ÿ’ฏ 12d ago edited 12d ago

Man you are punctual like a train in Japan ๐Ÿš€

Edit: spelling

1k

u/OGBobtheflounder ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I set my clock by Exponential Floor Guy posts.

253

u/TaiDavis ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

This is the way

78

u/deathspraises ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

This is the way.

21

u/loves_abyss This is the way - Refugee ๐Ÿ˜Ž 12d ago

This is the way

→ More replies

131

u/Sherbertdonkey โฌ†๏ธโฌ†๏ธโฌ‡๏ธโฌ‡๏ธโฌ…๏ธโžก๏ธโฌ…๏ธโžก๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฑ๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“ˆ 12d ago

This IS the way!

60

u/AirwolfJM ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

This is the way

26

u/TheDroidNextDoor 12d ago

This Is The Way Leaderboard

1. u/Flat-Yogurtcloset293 475775 times.

2. u/_RryanT 22744 times.

3. u/max-the-dogo 8487 times.

..

2213. u/AirwolfJM 20 times.


beep boop I am a bot and this action was performed automatically.

→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies

199

u/ramblingman113 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

More reliable than those bullshit atomic clocks. Psh. Who needs timezones any way on the moon?

87

u/Sorican ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

we'll be on lunar time.

it's sort of like island time, except with martinis and aviation cocktails instead of fruffy stuff served in coconuts with the little umbrellas.

once this moons, we're gonna be classy apes.

35

u/aslina Victorian tear catchers full of hedge fund despair๐Ÿ’ง 12d ago

I'm bringing the secret ingredient for the cocktails: hedge fund tears. Don't let them go to waste when the flood hits, save the salt!

→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies

118

u/here_4_the_lols ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I cannot believe how accurate your floor prediction was... Wow!

→ More replies

339

u/ethanhopps 12d ago

Can't wait to go to Japan and be late for all the trains post squeeze

112

u/munchie_munch 12d ago

96

u/noSnooForU ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Looks like a paperhander trying to get back on board the rocket right before takeoff and just a second to late.

32

u/TransATL O Fortuna 12d ago

I was waiting for the screen to turn red

23

u/ethanhopps 12d ago

*Wasted"

→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies

132

u/ramblingman113 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Real talk my girlfriend and I can't wait to visit Japan either. That girl deserves the world for putting up with my work habits and this whole GME thing.

She even said we don't have to take ALL her other boyfriends. Just a few. Lol. Had to.

TO THE MOON APES!

26

u/theMooey23 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

As long as her husband stays home.....

26

u/Not_Helping ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

No boyfriend left behind

6

u/Bam607 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Japan is #1 on my bucket list post-moass. Something special about that country

→ More replies

64

u/cookiebasket2 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

My bus from the hotel to the airport was 5 minutes late while I was in Japan, driver legit came out and did the bow and apologized.

53

u/TheNismoDrift ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I mean a bullet train in japan left 25 seconds early and the company offered a public apology. It was all over the local news. Japan just has super high standards of service and respect towards others around you.

I've been 2 Japan twice, can't wait to go again after the squeeze! ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿถโ›ฉ๏ธ

→ More replies

13

u/JetLag533 12d ago

Donโ€™t worry they run every 10 min or so.

Just donโ€™t get on a local you will feel like a hedgie trapped in his office during the squeeze!

13

u/Kakushi1983 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

The traindoors in Japan are brutal. They will close on you if you aren't fast enough. ๐Ÿ˜‚

→ More replies
→ More replies

41

u/patchyj ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

More punctual than British trai-

Oh, right

29

u/xX8Havok8Xx ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

More punctual than British builders tea break

6

u/ziggaboo ๐Ÿ’ฎFlower of Scotland๐Ÿ’ฎ 12d ago

Every 10 minutes on the dot.

→ More replies

91

u/Level-Possibility-69 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Told my wife the train was leaving at X:XX o'clock. She had to get a snack at one of the kiosks on the platform, told me it's ok, we'll be able to get on. Nadda, they don't mess around with departure time there! Had to wait for the next one.

47

u/distractingNitpicker Not a cat ๐Ÿฆ 12d ago

Yamanote sen makes you wait a whole 4 minutes for the next train during normal hours and 2.5 during peak hours. I miss Tokyo.

→ More replies

10

u/whattodo424 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Saw something about that on a show once, I think it was Top Gear.

They said if the train arrives more than 3 seconds late, it's classed as officially late and you get a note to show your boss at work or something.

Crazy

→ More replies

86

u/IEatSweetTeeth ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

More punctual than the S-Bahn in Berlin

67

u/Piefke_ ๐Ÿฆ Attempt Vote ๐Ÿ’ฏ 12d ago

Thatโ€™s really no standard for punctuality

45

u/GimmeFreeTendies ๐Ÿฆ Attempt Vote ๐Ÿ’ฏ 12d ago

Short it then.

๐Ÿ˜‚

10

u/delicious_manboobs ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Name checks out.

→ More replies
→ More replies

8

u/ever_onward ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Lol, this comparison is an insult to the trains in Japan :D.

→ More replies
→ More replies

12

u/Tovergieter1 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Doesnt this just sets a price expectation, just like we have woth a date expectation??

→ More replies
→ More replies

1k

u/That_Insurance_Guy 12d ago

I gotchu covered boy!

Using very rough math, IF it turns out $GME did their share selloff today then the new floor would have been about $206.50 with the ~7% dilution. This trend did not break today!

This means, tomorrow the new floor should be ~$210. So far, we're still exponential!

466

u/JTH1 Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

That's a great input. Thanks :)

173

u/That_Insurance_Guy 12d ago

Any time! Thanks for all the work you do, I've really enjoyed it so far :)

9

u/RLeyland ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

This is really great. Is the math derived from tracking, I.e. curve fitting? Which is a-ok, and can still be predictive. Or is their a theory behind it, like some ratio of shares outstanding to I dunno p/l ?

→ More replies
→ More replies

69

u/SkepticScreen 12d ago

Please, Universe, let me come back as something at least as smart as these people. I'll be a toad, I don't care, as long as I UNDERSTAND all of this stuff.

41

u/bluewhitecup ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Monkey's Paw: GRANTED, but you're the financial advisor working directly under Kenny and have a $10mil short position since December 2020 you've been can-kicking every week, and single-handedly responsible for lit buildings at 3 AM Saturdays.

6

u/PatsythePolarBear ๐Ÿฆ Ride or Die ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Hahaha

→ More replies

65

u/JustinMGWF ๐Ÿ’Ž๐ŸฆงBuckle Up Buckaroo๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

What if they sold off only a million? Or 2, or 3, or only 4?

Just out of curiosity, would be interesting to see where we are it if they only sold some today and not all.

67

u/That_Insurance_Guy 12d ago

Well, then you'd have to dilute based off however many million they sold off. Which would change the floor depending on the %. I have a feeling you're right and they didn't do all 5 Mil today. No way to know how much was done, though

→ More replies

50

u/PM_ME_GARFIELD_NUDES ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Iโ€™m guessing that this movement was calculated specially to break the exponential floor. These posts have gotten very popular lately so obviously the hedgies are aware of them. They want to break any indicator that we look at so that GME looks fake or dead. Once they have spent enough to do that thereโ€™s no reason spending a penny more. This was either their attempt to break the floor or theyโ€™ll try to do so tomorrow

→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies

1k

u/BlitzcrankGrab ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Glad you posted this even though it broke through the floor.

No bias here, just data

907

u/JTH1 Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Of course :)

855

u/JTH1 Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I'm actually pretty proud of that estimate. I really just eyeballed the constants for the equation 22 days ago in this post

https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ng2uzn/exponentially_increasing_floor_confirmed/

So I'm actually surprised that it still fit pretty well

151

u/mrrippington sellDOWN | 10%-> โ™พ| ๐Ÿฆvoted โœ… 12d ago

you are being too humble... as you know it and i know it, in advance TA like this: you just have to use a thinner line (esp for the exponential one) . /s

19

u/Wooden_Muffin_9880 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Thicker*

13

u/BigBeagleEars ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Thinner, thicker, believe it or not, my wife has boyfriends with both

6

u/Wooden_Muffin_9880 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

THICCER

→ More replies

72

u/METOOTHANKleS ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Also, if GameStop did an offering today that would throw off the curve by increasing supply.

25

u/Wooden_Muffin_9880 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Yeah if the float has been diluted by 7% then that will affect the curve permanently. I think the curve might need a lane change incorporated.

106

u/doodaddy64 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

plot twist: they see your graph, realize you are correct and are spending what it takes to break the faith we gain from this data. oh, and making you look bad would be something they'd love to achieve because they are assholes.

44

u/captnmiss 12d ago

Honest to god this was my first thought when I started seeing his posts.

I was like โ€ฆ theyโ€™re watchingโ€ฆ theyโ€™re assholesโ€ฆ I can totally see them trying to instill fear by โ€œbreakingโ€ our precious graph

→ More replies

20

u/bbbooneville ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I wouldn't be surprised if one of their goals was to break the theory. I also like to imagine that their efforts to push below the floor are exponentially more expensive below the floor than above it.

→ More replies

19

u/find_your_moon 12d ago

Well done, dude. Absolutely still valid. Itโ€™s a model and thereโ€™s always error in models. You freaking nailed this shit though! ๐Ÿ’ช๐Ÿ’ช๐Ÿ’ช

→ More replies

187

u/dummdumm92 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I mean we closed at 222.? Wicks can be ignored so I can confirm my bias some.

97

u/noooooocomment 12d ago

We at 224 in afterhours ๐Ÿ‘

36

u/F4RTB0Y ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

229 one hr after your comment

27

u/Wooden_Muffin_9880 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

40 six months before he commented ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿป

17

u/Awol_MFFM ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Over $25,000,000 at some point after his comment. ๐Ÿ‘†

→ More replies

43

u/szpaceSZ ๐Ÿฆ Attempt Vote ๐Ÿ’ฏ 12d ago

wicks cannot be ignored when the whole premise of this graph is using daily lows rather than closing prices.

→ More replies

74

u/MadJesse ๐Ÿ”ฌ this wrinkle brain voted ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ”ฌ 12d ago

Right? And with such a restraint as using the lowest price possible rather than the closing price or something more normal people would use. AND if it turns out the ATM happened today then the model has to be adjusted to fit that new parameter and I would bet means we kept above the floor.

37

u/Jessev1234 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

This entire chart is tracking daily lows, so not really no

→ More replies

9

u/Peteszahh ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Question. Iโ€™m curious how the 5m share offering would impact the exponential floor.

Wouldnt the exponential floor dip slightly with more shares in existence because that impacts the price/value of a share? Or no?

→ More replies
→ More replies

23

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Yeah thanks for posting these. I always look to this for tracking.

15

u/bahits ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Not everyone can create 5 million real shares to sell. I am not upset at all. My company needs cash to complete the transformation!

Bullish!

→ More replies
→ More replies

573

u/mvonh001 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Jesus not even 1 minute till you confirm my bias

112

u/AtomicKittenz ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Closed at 220.

Mah man is right on the money!

30

u/daytime 12d ago

Remember this is tracking daily lowest price. Not closing price. Considering the possible float change (ATM offering), ~$211 is still within โ€œtits jackedโ€ parameters.

1k

u/Samheis Lord Stonkington - Not a cat ๐Ÿฆ 12d ago

If it comes out that GME did their share sale, then I think that's an acceptable outlier to consider it still accurate!

305

u/OlGreggg Do you love me? ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Came here to say this. The increase to the float makes this a marginal error to me at best. Good shit op

87

u/BrixV2 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

But we don't know yet if they completed the offering.

43

u/OlGreggg Do you love me? ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I think I saw something about it earlier, if I see it again Iโ€™ll edit with a sauce. I donโ€™t know if they finished the offering but I think they started it

36

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Please do post it. I really want confirmation

41

u/Nice-Violinist-6395 12d ago

Yes, the total share count increased from 70m to 71.8mil. It was shorting + APES GETTING TO BUY A MILLION FUCKING SHARES.

And weโ€™re still on the exponential floor? Whoo boy.

life is good.

→ More replies
→ More replies

29

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Does the float number reflect new shares released today?

→ More replies
→ More replies

464

u/sand90 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

that would be smart...sell legit shares and blame it on HFs

384

u/Kingalthor 12d ago

While the HFs are shorting, so they can't use the new shares to cover.

280

u/Diamondhands420moon ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Didnโ€™t think of that part, genius. Attack while your enemy is distracted and greedy.

152

u/JadedEyes2020 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

That is straight up Sun Tzu - The Art of War. I am so entertained by all of this!

90

u/IFapToCalamity ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

CEOs love that shit for a reason.

→ More replies
→ More replies

118

u/stephenporter ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Exactly what they did last time and volume was huge today for such a massive drop letโ€™s hope thatโ€™s the case

→ More replies

69

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I donโ€™t understand the strategy behind that. Can you elaborate why the sudden release of 5M at the same time as a HF short attack would play out as a good thing for GME?

103

u/SmithRune735 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Gamestop did it once and retail gobbled up those shares. Retail held on from highs of $400 to a low of $40. Ryan Cohen announced "buckle up" yesterday during the shareholders meeting. He could have literally done this and assured us the price would drop and for us to prepare for it to either hold on or to buy shares. Who knows.

69

u/CR7isthegreatest ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I bought 12 of those 5 million.

16

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

This is the way

→ More replies
→ More replies

34

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Yeah that would fit. I guess he figured he could shake the stock knowing we wouldnโ€™t flee and sell.

→ More replies
→ More replies

97

u/Kingalthor 12d ago

Because according to other apes comments I have seen, GME has/had a price limit on their share offering of $255, so they couldn't benefit from a squeeze anyway. Selling during the post earnings short sale (that they probably knew from the past is GOING to happen) hides the share offering, so that people aren't scared of dilution. And then an announcement that the share offering is complete is a huge relief to all the shareholders, and adds a lot of cash to GME's balance sheet.

As well, doing it during the short sale, means that the HF's are focused on creating extra shorts, so they aren't using the newly created REAL shares to cover their shorts. Doing it this way means more of the shares end up in the hands of Apes, instead of covering counterfeit shares.

46

u/Extension_Win1114 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

They paid their long term debt with only 3.5M shares @160ish..fuckin buckle up is right, so much potential and places to go ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

18

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

That would be pretty smart. If that is indeed the case I will be really impressed. Thatโ€™s a ballsy move.

→ More replies
→ More replies

58

u/InstructionNo3616 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Because the HFโ€™s would short it at a lower price causing them more damage when it rockets or goes back to a corrected value.

152

u/jacobbomb ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Make shorters think that shorting the stock is working and causing people to panic sell, causing them to blow more ammo to try and push the price down farther. That way once it comes out that they sold their 5 million shares, itโ€™ll be much harder to suppress upwards momentum since short ammo is well.. short on supply lmao.

Thatโ€™s how I could see that. But honestly, todayโ€™s movement might be the stock naturally adjusting to the incoming dilution of 5 million shares that weโ€™ll likely see soon. But all of this IS in theory. I donโ€™t think thereโ€™s any way for us to know if they sold the extra shares or not until they announce something about it.

87

u/JadedEyes2020 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Also had the volume to hide 5 million new shares issued, it was at 22M today.

65

u/DracoFinance ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Today was the highest volume since March 26 (37.43M) with only April 14 (21.14M) and May 26 (21.12M) coming close.

53

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

That does lean my suspicion that they could have put 3.5-5M shares on sale today

57

u/DracoFinance ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I hope it was a 1-day band-aid rip of 5M shares.

26

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Yeah I have come to think this would be the best case scenario. I hope thereโ€™s confirmation forthcoming

→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies

87

u/hyperian24 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I don't see why everyone gets bummed out about dilution.

Like yeah, there's 5 million more shares in the float. You own a smaller % of it. But at the same time if they sold 5 million shares at an average of $250, that's $1.25 BILLION added to the books.

So you have a smaller % of a now much more valuable company, so your total value hasn't really changed all that much.

Especially considering they bought back like 29 million shares around $5, there's still a net reduction of like 20.5 million shares which is awesome.

37

u/redpings116 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

But with a MOASS lurking and it already shorted to shit with naked shares, does it really matter?

7

u/PelleSketchy ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

For the company it does. They'll be a great long term investment as well.

5

u/dargo5 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Exactly. Remember, GS know the vote count and they know that 5m shares wonโ€™t affect the moass except to make it more certain (as GS will have more cash)

→ More replies

22

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I wonder when they have to announce that theyโ€™ve sold the new shares

32

u/New_acct_3 ๐Ÿš€ Space Pirate ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

After the offering has been completed. There's no timeline

→ More replies
→ More replies

20

u/TheRagingSee85 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Because shorts are not buying en masse, hence the investors get the shares while the SHF sell and do not cover.

→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies

68

u/level_six_clean ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Ooh I hope the one I bought today was a shiny new GME stonk and not one of those rehypothicated shitadel ones! ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

25

u/dirtpilot_ ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Yes!!!! Mmmmmmmmm fresh shares.

→ More replies

13

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Just a smell test. If it smells like Mayo, donโ€™t get that one. Get one that smells like a freshly opened game console

→ More replies

6

u/Icy_Pineapple5393 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Me too!

→ More replies

58

u/Nolzad The price is wrong, bitch ๐Ÿ”ซ๐Ÿ’ฐ ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€ JACKED to the TITS ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

True, because it would change the exponential floor curve.

→ More replies

161

u/Faster-than-800 ๐Ÿฆ Look Kids Big Ben ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

1% is data noise, I'm impressed and I play with numbers for a living.

→ More replies

35

u/Lulufeeee ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Yep and we all blamed the HFs and didn't sell. Would be perfect. One can dream...

33

u/jacobbomb ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago edited 12d ago

Honestly, my tits would probably get kaioken jacked X 10 if that was true.

If they sold all 5 million shares, for a fairly conservative average of $235 a share, thats $1.175 billion dollars.

→ More replies

33

u/WildBTK ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I have an alternate theory: GME did not do their share sale today, but that the SHFs dropped the price so that the company wouldn't get nearly as much money when they do eventually sell shares. $80 drop on 5m shares is $400m potentially lost. It's more complicated than that, I know, but that could've been the attack vector by the enemy today.

32

u/Samheis Lord Stonkington - Not a cat ๐Ÿฆ 12d ago

It's possible. Some on r/gme pointed out an increase in the total share count on a couple websites today, but not a 5 million total increase. I'm sure we'll find out eventually.

I personally suspect that Gamestop sold most or all of the shares today, but like everyone else, I have absolutely zero proof and rank, bias confirming suspicion.

8

u/unloud ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

That info was unsubstantiated. These numbers wouldn't be updated until the filings are made with the SEC.

→ More replies
→ More replies

23

u/BigDeuce777 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

That would certainly be the way

12

u/Glowing_anus12345 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Certainly the way be that would

19

u/ohWombats ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I really hope it does, it would make today's dip a lot more understandable

19

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

And more easily recoverable?

28

u/31YearOldRedditor ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Absolutely. Uncertainty to when they sell their 5M shares will slow growth. But if they come out tomorrow and say "yeah, we already did it." That uncertainty is no more.

15

u/dbx99 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Oh I get that. Just get it done and rip the band aid and move forward sort of thing

19

u/beachplzzz ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I wonder if I'm the only one refreshing gamestops newsroom page like it's a smash button playing Wii tennis ๐Ÿค”

→ More replies

14

u/minnowstogetherstonk ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Gapfill baby!!! Bullish!!! ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

13

u/FourEverGreatFull ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Iโ€™ve been wondering if Ryan Cohen was worried about the gap fill so he does a share offering to fill the gap. Dude playing 8D chess here ๐Ÿ’€

7

u/minnowstogetherstonk ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I was actually thinking a bit about the 5 mill share offering. Itโ€™s quite bullish that Ryan is dumping the shares off into the open market so that is apes have an opportunity to buy at a cheap price vs the back door deals with hedgies that other squeeze candidates are doing. Iโ€™ll see u on the moon my retard ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ๐Ÿฆ๐Ÿ’ช๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€

→ More replies

26

u/archi3721 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

That was exactly my thought as well.

8

u/[deleted] 12d ago

exactly! it was unexpected

→ More replies
→ More replies

139

u/Glioneuronal 12d ago

It's important for people to keep in mind that the smooth curve you're seeing is not absolute. This is noisy data and there is a margin of error around the line. It broke through the average of the floor (the line at 222), but its still close to the original model. It'd have to vary a lot more for the model to be rejected outright.

42

u/JTH1 Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Thank you!

→ More replies
→ More replies

357

u/Pastelitomaracucho ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Fack that means I'm losing for not buying the dip todaaaaaay

148

u/Manfromknowwhere ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I snagged one at 219. Lol

90

u/Socially8roken ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

$260.50 I was expecting a dip not ATM

147

u/SloppyPeriodFarts ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I had a limit buy set at $240 not expecting it to execute, so I went to bed (NZ time) as the market opens at like 2am for us, so we miss quite a lot of trading. Anyway woke up with 103 extra shares ๐ŸŽ‰๐ŸŽ‰

46

u/alecbgreen โค๏ธ DFV fanboy โค๏ธ ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

You, sir, fuck

27

u/Masta0nion ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I think itโ€™s aโ€ฆmaโ€™am.

16

u/alecbgreen โค๏ธ DFV fanboy โค๏ธ ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

GUH

10

u/Glst0rm ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Haha! Classic move. (Done it myself)

→ More replies
→ More replies

14

u/Fantastic-Ad2195 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

$215 here... yee yee๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ˜Ž

→ More replies

20

u/Frankouccino ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

One? I hope your amount of shares is now divisible by 2. It's the law

17

u/level_six_clean ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Ahhh! I bought one today and now I have an uneven number! ๐Ÿ˜ฑ

8

u/TaiDavis ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Nooooooo!

→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies

34

u/_vTwo ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Grabbed 4 @ $215, wasn't able to pass it up

26

u/BuddyUpInATree 12d ago

I caught the bottom of a dip for the first time ever today and got some at 211 and change, felt glorious watching it go back up from there and not drop back down

→ More replies
→ More replies
→ More replies

58

u/arcant12 โš”Knights of New๐Ÿ›ก - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I โค๏ธ exponential floor guy

10

u/AtomicKittenz ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I love you, Knight of New

→ More replies

55

u/hobackster81 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Thanks floor guy!

256

u/triple6lordinfamous ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I think the 5M share sell off is skewing the original equation now, but I'd agree this is still on par. If we continue to drop at the current trend still tomorrow, the model is broken. Will be an interesting Friday nonetheless.

84

u/Rehypothecator schrodinger's mayonnaise 12d ago

Itโ€™s not necessarily broken. I imagine the share sell off will continue tomorrow plus pressure from hedge funds diluting the price. The additional 5 million shares is an externality that literally didnโ€™t exist prior to yesterday.

It doesnโ€™t necessarily throw out the thesis, simply another variable to account for.

25

u/Booshur ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Yea it just needs adjustment - don't throw the baby out with the bath water. Make appropriate adjustments and carry on. If it continues to break then it's not a good model.

12

u/Rehypothecator schrodinger's mayonnaise 12d ago edited 12d ago

Iโ€™d suggest it just needs shifted to the right by whatever percentage 5million new shares is compared to the past formula which had 70.77 million shares I believe?

So 7.07 %?

Edit: That 70.77 is just pulled off top of my head, if anyone has the exact amount of shares Iโ€™ll change the calc

→ More replies
→ More replies

151

u/Alert_Piano341 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I think its reasonable to assume that GME sold most if not all their 5 Million shares today.

No it didn't help the shorts, if they didn't cover at 40 they were not covering at 200+, it just a slight delay for the inevitable. They could literally do this every month for a year with a rising floor and it still would not allow the shorts to cover.

If I am correct GME raised a Billion + today to help the transformation, and we are above the floor in AH to boot.

→ More replies

46

u/octofly ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

You are a wizard

→ More replies

35

u/Faster-than-800 ๐Ÿฆ Look Kids Big Ben ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Statistically you nailed it, 1% margin of error is awesome!

21

u/JTH1 Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Thanks buddy. I'm actually surprised that the log chart was so accurate today :)

31

u/HulkSmash-1967 12d ago

Kinda fucking eyeballed the neutrino bombs on this one Morty.

12

u/drtywlf ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Oh jeez Rick!

7

u/anonymous_agama ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Loo-look Morty, you see how vertical that floo (burps) ooor projection gets! I-I mean youโ€™d have to be incredibly stupid to bet against it. Strap in Moo(burps)orty, looks like weโ€™re going to the fucking MOOOON BABY!

→ More replies

26

u/Ipickatyou โš”๏ธKnight of Newโš”๏ธ Sword of The morning ๐Ÿฆ 12d ago

Love your posts

27

u/MeowSchwitzInThere 12d ago

Still loving the post!

Would your equation have changed if you knew GME would issue additional shares?

STILL BUYING & HODLING!

18

u/oscarrico54 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

p=10^(0.0072106*x+0.5)

SLIGHTLY OFF...

bULLISH Ape here

16

u/RestartingMyLife0918 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago edited 12d ago

Uh... using that equation with 253, we get a floor today of...

10^(0.0072106*253+0.5) = 210.999681627

Todays low = $211

u/JTH1 you see this? edit: you commented a minute before me.

edit2: I think this equation was just working backwards from todays low. If it was $200, the number would be 0.007118695

11

u/oscarrico54 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

correct, I was just trying to see how off the exponential was

engineer ape here

edit: turned out fairly close, impressive tbh!

→ More replies

9

u/JTH1 Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Does that fit todays low? Haven't tried yet :)

20

u/Praise__The__Lord 12d ago

Letโ€™s assume GME completed their share offer of 5M shares today. The previous float was around 57M and outstanding shares are at 71M. 5M for each one would represent a 8.8% and 7% increase in number of shares. Using the 8.8% to decrease the floor today of 222 gives us a new floor of: $202!

Iโ€™m just guesstimating, Iโ€™m not sure if this math be even applied. This is also assuming that GME sold 5M shares in 1 day. But if it is true, GME raised at a minimum $1.06 Billion in Capital.

14

u/concerned_citizen128 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Brilliant!

I mean, it was definitely an interesting day... Wonder what it took for them to do this? Or, as others are pondering, was this GME doing their share offering today as well? I'm sure they'll tell us soon enough.

Thanks JTH1!

→ More replies

15

u/mAliceinTendieland ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Just make the green line thicker, then itโ€™s fine. Wonโ€™t even be able to tell.

→ More replies

13

u/somethingeye ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

My theory is that your daily charts hurt their egos and they put everything they had into breaking your trend. This theory is based on nothing and changes nothing. Diamond hands are forever.

69

u/sockchaser ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Yea they probably saw these posts and target past the floor. Trying to dishearten us apes. Just Hodl On and Buckle up.

๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ

7

u/carpe_noctem_vitea ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

My tin foil hat had me thinking this as well.

→ More replies

13

u/Confuzet 12d ago

Normally when people say this type of thing (about other subjects) it has a tendency to be untrue. But in this case we know they've been googling superstonk.

→ More replies

10

u/cometbeetle understands the reverse repo thing ๐Ÿ“Š - Voted โœ… 12d ago

Thank you for this!

11

u/PensiveParagon ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Thanks Exponential Floor Guy!

→ More replies

9

u/Elle-Cabrera ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Considering none of us are able to read, these graphs are very impressive.

9

u/therealr0tt3n ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Thx so much for keeping your exponential log thread going. For what it's worth, I thought the price would get down to about 208 or 209 today, in order to close a gap opening between market close on May 25th at ~208 and market open on May 26th of 220. In my experience Gap openings get closed sooner or later, and today seemed like the day, didn't quite get that low, but almost. So that might partially explain why a deviated slightly below the exponential floor line - it had a different agenda for a moment...

8

u/Noooooooooooobus ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Hawt

I think they spent a lot of money to push it below the exponential floor. You can see that as soon as the market closed and the pressure came off the price jumped back above the floor.

12

u/JTH1 Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

I don't think they really did push it below. They just pushed below my eyeballed model :) If you look at the bottom graph you can barely see it breaking through. We'll know tomorrow if it keeps gong down.

21

u/Odin554 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

CHEERS APE.

Ran straight to new to check in. For your first error, I would say we are doing pretty fucking great.

See you tomorrow!

17

u/JTH1 Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Thanks buddy :)

32

u/Lastsight ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Good to see we're still on track at least. But also

GUH

22

u/DM-ME-CONFESSIONS ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Paper GUH. The best kind.

This is why shares are the play. This will go back up. OBV shows this bouncing back, exponential floor guy says we're on track, possible that GameStop just banked another $Billion dollars.

All bullish

11

u/pronkingxxx 12d ago

imagine having almost 2 billion dollars and no debt and a powerhouse team to pivot a fortune500 company.

Too think hedge funds tried to bankrupt this company and put tens of thousands of people out of work during a pandemic

→ More replies

8

u/Alternative_Ad_7359 ๐Ÿ›ธape want believe๐Ÿ›ธ๐ŸŒˆ๐Ÿฆงbuckle up๐Ÿš€๐ŸŒ•๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

I know they say no idols here but....this chart is my idol

6

u/c0nstantfailure ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

Some HF saw that and thought: lets get them crying when we drop it 1% below that not-triangular shape.

Jokes on them, most of us bought more. I have now officially quintipplet since april 15 aka vote count date

→ More replies

8

u/FluffyDucky123 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Mate you fucking nailed it

9

u/JTH1 Exponential Floor Guy - ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Really, if you look at the log chart I used to estimate (read: this fit seems to look pretty much okay) the constants 4 weeks ago, the dip today actually bounced off of that line more or less. I'm still a believer in the exp floor!

→ More replies

7

u/TCBH2021 12d ago

And I bought 100 more shares at $218

17

u/Naive-Coconut-8918 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 12d ago

So for future reference anytime it pops below either line it's a fire sale of extreme proportions and I'm buying the dip.

→ More replies

6

u/PsstDangerZone ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Can I ask that if you do decide to update the graph to account for the new shares, that you keep the original line plot in so we can keep track on the accuracy of the model. This way it treats the 5 mil theory as just a theory and not fact... Yet.

5

u/Captobvious88 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

Within the margin of error, especially if you calculate 70M shares + 5M from the atm offering (at the money)

5

u/[deleted] 12d ago edited 11d ago

[deleted]

→ More replies

4

u/Bonca1222 ๐Ÿฆ Voted โœ… 12d ago

If it makes you feel any better itโ€™s already at 229 after hours ๐Ÿคทโ€โ™‚๏ธ

4

u/anthony0028 12d ago

Your posts help me find an entry point today. Almost bought more on the downtrend around $250 but decided to wait and test your floor. Turns out it was a great play, got more shares at 222.00 after hours